Sunday’s messy, rainy, partly snowy storm system went as expected. North Jersey’s Sussex County saw almost 3 inches of snow. Rain dampened spirits south of Interstate 78, where snowflakes were rare.
The storm left early. We enter a dry, chilly air mass for several days. Temperatures will drop 5–10 degrees.
Next comes our storm system. A difficult “nor’easter” is expected to hit New Jersey Thursday-Friday. That appears to be another rain-and-wind machine for most of New Jersey.
However, these storms are intense track and temperature dependent and will bring significant wintry weather close.
Monday
Avoid slippery areas. Monday morning’s slushy-to-wet roads. The mornings are cold.
The radar shows no rain for Monday. As the skies clear, the day will go smoothly. Partial sunlight is expected by afternoon.
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With a high of 40 degrees, it will be chilly. Light winds. Again, the day should stay dry.
A deep frost is expected Monday night as the sky is clear and winds moderate. Urban and coastal locations can plunge below 32 degrees.
Expect the mid-20s statewide by Tuesday morning. Northwest New Jersey may reach the teens. Bundle!
Tuesday
Quiet but unseasonably cold. Mostly sunny skies. Again, temperatures will barely hit 40 degrees Tuesday afternoon.
Wednesday
Few modifications. Sunshine and beautiful skies will return today. Wednesday night will bring clouds.
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Windy. Dry. Cold. Another 40-degree high is expected.
Thursday-Friday
A coastal storm, or nor’easter, expected Thursday will rain at least one inch on New Jersey. If the storm track changes, we might get 6+ inches of snow. In northwestern New Jersey.
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Model direction heavily favors wet. (The storm will bring warm air, raising South Jersey temperatures to near 50 on Friday.) It’s worth watching because the wintry weather is nearby.
Winds will reach 30 mph. The Jersey Shore will experience multiple coastal floods.
Conclusion: Thursday and Friday will be miserable.
These coastal storm scenarios are difficult to predict. The outlook should firm up during the following 24–36 hours. If necessary, we’ll estimate snowfall and timetable. I’ll provide a full snow map.
Extended Forecast
Next weekend—the last weekend of autumn—should be cooler. Cold temperatures will return to the 40s. Sunday may be colder. With all the pre-holiday celebrations in New Jersey, we may get a dry weekend for the first time in December.
