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action or later. Please see Debugging in WordPress for more information. (This message was added in version 6.7.0.) in /home/newjerseylocalne/public_html/wp-includes/functions.php on line 6114The United States policy community was sent a grim warning in the form of National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) 15-90 on October 18, 1990. Within a year, Yugoslavia will no longer function as a federal state, and within two, it would likely dissolve entirely. Divorce cannot be prevented by economic reform. […] Full-scale war between the republics is not likely, but substantial intercommunal strife will accompany and persist beyond the dissolution. The fighting will be hopeless and sour. The United States and its European allies can do very little to prevent the disintegration of Yugoslavia. An outline of the region that was formerly known as Yugoslavia, from 1993. After World War I, the Austro-Hungarian Empire’s holdings in Croatia, Slovenia, and Bosnia unified with the Serbian Kingdom to form a new nation called Yugoslavia, or the Land of South (i.e. Yugo) Slavs. During World War II, a Nazi-allied autonomous Croat state was established, but the country was reunified after the war by a communist-dominated partisan army led by Josip Broz Tito. After WWII, the United States placed a premium on maintaining Yugoslavia’s unity.<\/p>\n Yugoslavia was a communist state throughout the Cold War, although it was distinct from the Soviet Union after it declared independence in 1948, joined the Non-Aligned Movement as a founding member in 1961 and instituted a more decentralized and less authoritarian system of governance. Cultural and theological differences among the nation’s ethnic groups, memories of WWII atrocities committed by both sides, and centrifugal nationalist impulses were just some of the many factors that contributed to the country’s dissolution. Nonetheless, a chain reaction of significant political events exacerbated preexisting tensions in the Yugoslav country.<\/p>\n
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“(Central Intelligence Agency)” Thomas Shreeve, writing about NIE 15-90 for the National Defense University in 2003, remarked that the October 1990 assessment of the U.S. intelligence community “was analytically sound, insightful, and well written.” It had almost no effect on US strategy and was fundamentally at odds with what US policymakers had hoped for in the former Yugoslavia. The Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia had broken apart into its individual nations by January 1992 and so ceased to exist.<\/p>\nThe Austro-Hungarian Empire’s Holdings in Croatia<\/h2>\n